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Wh ile o p timizingth eiro wnl ogistics,lo tso fen terpriseslo werth eire xternalef ficiency
andin creaseth ec ostof re gionallo gistics.A sa c onsequence, thee fectof lo calop timization
isre duced,w hichh indersec onomicd evelopment.H owever,se veralqu estionsre main,su cha s
to what extend regional logistics helps economic growth, how it help and why? Answering
these questions will help quiding the practice of regional logistics layout.
Th et hes isc irclesth em eaningso fre gionallo gisticsa nde conomicg rowth chooses
three variables namely, Freight trafic volume, freight turnover volume and logistics network
as indices describing the regional logistics, selects each regional GDP as index for economic
growth, and establishes two simple regression models describing the efect of regional
logisticso nt here gionalec onomicg rowth.O neo fth emi sa m ultipleli nearre gressionm odel;
theo theris a lo garithm linearm odel.D atumo flo gisticsin dustrya nde conomicg rowthb y2 9
provinces and regions in China are used to estimate the parameters in the equations. The
coefficient of determination for the multiple linear regression model is 0.658, while that for
logarithm linear model is 0.823. Although the coefficient of the logarithm linear model is
larger than that of the multiple linear regression model, after comparing the result of two
modelso nth es ameb asis,th ela teris th eb eter.
Th ere gr essionm odelcl earlys howsth atth ee fectof re gionallo gisticso nt hee conomic
growth cannot be ignored. FTV and FTOV are the more important factors. The regression
equation indicates that 1 percent change in FTV accompanies 0.753 percent of GDP, 1 percent
changein F TOVm ayg ow ith0 .294p ercentof G DP,1 p ercentch angein L Nm ayb ringa bout
0.371 percent of GDP. Multiplier analysis indicates that per FTV unit will go with 0.01372
GDPu nit,pe rF reightT rafficu nitm ayg ow ith0 .205G DPu nit,pe rL ogisticsN etworku nit
may go with 0.00628 GDP unit.
At la s t,t h eth esisu seth ea bovem odelin tw op racticalpr oblems.O neis a s tatica nalysis
of the model. It analyzes the economic gaps among the east, the middle and the west from
1987to 2 001fr omt hev iewpointof L ogistics.Th eo theris a d ynamics tudy,w hichs howsth at
the contribution of FTOV and FTV to the economic growth trend to increase with the
economic development from 1987 to 2001
Wh ile o p timizingth eiro wnl ogistics,lo tso fen terpriseslo werth eire xternalef ficiency
andin creaseth ec ostof re gionallo gistics.A sa c onsequence, thee fectof lo calop timization
isre duced,w hichh indersec onomicd evelopment.H owever,se veralqu estionsre main,su cha s
to what extend regional logistics helps economic growth, how it help and why? Answering
these questions will help quiding the practice of regional logistics layout.
Th et hes isc irclesth em eaningso fre gionallo gisticsa nde conomicg rowth chooses
three variables namely, Freight trafic volume, freight turnover volume and logistics network
as indices describing the regional logistics, selects each regional GDP as index for economic
growth, and establishes two simple regression models describing the efect of regional
logisticso nt here gionalec onomicg rowth.O neo fth emi sa m ultipleli nearre gressionm odel;
theo theris a lo garithm linearm odel.D atumo flo gisticsin dustrya nde conomicg rowthb y2 9
provinces and regions in China are used to estimate the parameters in the equations. The
coefficient of determination for the multiple linear regression model is 0.658, while that for
logarithm linear model is 0.823. Although the coefficient of the logarithm linear model is
larger than that of the multiple linear regression model, after comparing the result of two
modelso nth es ameb asis,th ela teris th eb eter.
Th ere gr essionm odelcl earlys howsth atth ee fectof re gionallo gisticso nt hee conomic
growth cannot be ignored. FTV and FTOV are the more important factors. The regression
equation indicates that 1 percent change in FTV accompanies 0.753 percent of GDP, 1 percent
changein F TOVm ayg ow ith0 .294p ercentof G DP,1 p ercentch angein L Nm ayb ringa bout
0.371 percent of GDP. Multiplier analysis indicates that per FTV unit will go with 0.01372
GDPu nit,pe rF reightT rafficu nitm ayg ow ith0 .205G DPu nit,pe rL ogisticsN etworku nit
may go with 0.00628 GDP unit.
At la s t,t h eth esisu seth ea bovem odelin tw op racticalpr oblems.O neis a s tatica nalysis
of the model. It analyzes the economic gaps among the east, the middle and the west from
1987to 2 001fr omt hev iewpointof L ogistics.Th eo theris a d ynamics tudy,w hichs howsth at
the contribution of FTOV and FTV to the economic growth trend to increase with the
economic development from 1987 to 2001
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